回复:11 主题:CBOT Soy Outlook: Up 25-30c On Supportive USDA Rep 默认

发表于: [2008-09-12 21:55:13] 楼主:pepsi500 [查看资料] [发送纸条] [博客] [微博]

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By Andrew Johnson Jr.

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Supportive production data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture's crop report coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar is seen buoying Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures Friday.

CBOT soybean futures are called 25 to 30 cents higher.

The report, which was released early Friday, confirmed the market view of a reduction in 2008-09 output by recognizing there were some August crop production problems, analysts said.

USDA reported 2008-09 soybean production at 2.934 billion bushels, down 39 million from the August estimate of 2.973 billion based on lower yields, especially in the eastern corn belt. The average of analysts' estimates anticipated a crop size of 2.950 billion bushels. The 2008-09 U.S. soybean yield was estimated at 40.0 bushels per acre, down from August estimate of 40.5.

The report will keep the focus on crop conditions and could promote predictions of further yield reductions down the road, said Mike Zuzolo, analyst with Risk Management Commodities Inc.

The U.S. soybean market has razor thin supplies and that may pull some psychology away from outside markets, particularly after recent price setbacks, Zuzolo added.

The USDA forecast 2008-09 U.S. soybean ending stocks at 135 million bushels, unchanged from August, but below the average analyst estimate of 146 million. The USDA pegged 2007-08 soybean stocks at 140 million, up 5 million from August. The average of analysts' pre-report estimates was 143 million.

It raised 2007-08 exports 10 million bushels to 1.155 billion bushels. Crush was trimmed 15 million bushels to 1.830 billion reflecting a slowdown in domestic soybean meal disappearance, USDA reported.

Weakness in the U.S. dollar is seen adding strength to prices, with short covering and end user buying seen aiding the higher tone. The confirmation of lower yields will put end users on notice, said Zuzolo.

A weaker U.S. dollar is bullish for commodities as most raw materials are dollar-denominated, making it less expensive for foreign buyers to import.

A market technician said the next upside price objective for November soybeans is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $12.07 a bushel. The next downside price objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of $11.64 3/4.

First resistance for November soybeans is seen at Thursday's high of $11.88 and then at $12.00. First support is seen at Thursday's low of $11.65 and then at this week's low of $11.57.

The DTN Meteorlogix weather forecast said crops in the U.S. Midwest should continue to mature as temperatures stay above freezing during the next 10 days. Rainfall at the end of this week and during the weekend may favor late filling crops, especially through southern and eastern areas. However, where moisture associated with hurricane Ike gets involved there could be flooding.

In the U.S. Delta, rainfall associated with hurricane Ike and its induced surface trough should track through this area during the weekend. It appears that the heaviest rains will occur north and west of Memphis but this could slide a little either way, Meteorlogix said.

In overseas markets, soybean futures traded on the Dalian Commodity Exchange settled higher Friday on expectations of a bullish USDA report. The benchmark January 2009 soybean contract settled CNY61 or 1.5% higher at CNY4,065 a metric ton.

Cash soybean prices in China's major producing areas were lower in the week to Friday as traders weren't willing to buy ahead of the harvest.

Crude palm oil futures on Malaysia's derivatives exchange ended 3.1% higher Friday on short-covering and spillover strength from soyoil and crude, erasing at least some of this week's losses, said trade participants. The benchmark November contract on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives ended MYR71 higher at MYR2,380 a metric ton, after reaching an intraday high of MYR2,392.

-By Andrew Johnson Jr.; Dow Jones Newswires; 312-347-4604; andrew.johnsonjr@dowjones.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

September 12, 2008 09:36 ET (13:36 GMT)
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1楼:pepsi500 发表于:[2008-09-12 21:57:30]

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安德鲁约翰逊小

对道琼斯通讯社

芝加哥(道琼斯) -支持生产数据,从美国农业部的作物报告,加上美元转弱被认为是b uoying芝加哥贸易局大豆期货周五。

CBOT大豆期货是所谓的25至30美分,更高。

这份报告,被释放的早期周五,证实了市场的看法减少在2008-09年度的产量承认有一些八月作物生产的问题,分析家说。

美国农业部的报告, 2008-09年度大豆产量在29.34亿蒲式耳,下跌39000000从2004年8月估计的29.73亿的基础上降低产量,尤其是在东部玉米种植带。分析师的平均估计数字,预计作物的大小2.950亿蒲式耳。 2008-09美国大豆产量估计为40.0蒲式耳,每英亩,从8月估计的40.5 。

该报告将继续把重点放在作物的条件和能促进进一步的预测产量减少下来,道,迈克说,祖佐洛,分析师与风险管理商品公司

美国大豆市场已剃刀薄用品和可能撤出一些心理距离以外的市场,尤其是在最近的价格挫折,祖佐洛补充。

美国农业部预测, 2008-09年度美国大豆期末库存在1.35亿蒲式耳,维持不变,从8月,但低于分析师平均估计的1.46亿。美国农业部挂2007-08年度大豆库存在140万美元,增幅达500.0万,从8月。分析师的平均预报告估计, 143万美元。

它提出了2007-08年出口1000万蒲式耳至11.55亿蒲式耳。粉碎被削减1500万蒲式耳,至1.830亿元,反映了放缓,国内豆粕失踪,美国农业部的报告。

疲弱的美元被认为是加入实力,价格,空头回补和最终用户购买看到协助较高的语调。确认较低的收益率将付诸表决,最终用户就通知说,祖佐洛。

疲软的美元看涨的商品,由于大部分原材料是美元计价,使得它更便宜的外国买家的进口。

市场技术员说,未来价格上扬的目标,十一月大豆是推动和密切的价格以上的雄厚的技术阻力位在十二点○七美元蒲式耳。未来下滑的价格,目的是推动和收盘价格低于坚实的技术支持,在5月的低点十一点六四三美元/ 4 。

第一阻力十一月大豆被认为是在周四的高点$ 11.88 ,然后在$ 12.00 。第一支撑见于周四的低点一十一点六五美元,然后在这个星期的低点一十一点五七美元。

该dtn meteorlogix天气预报说,作物在美国中西部地区,应继续作为成熟的温度保持上述冻结在未来10天。降雨量在本月底周和周末期间可能有利于作物灌浆后期,特别是通过南部和东部地区。但是,当水分与飓风的IKE得到所涉及的可能会有水浸。

在美国三角洲地区,雨量与飓风的IKE和诱导其表面槽应追踪,通过这方面的周末期间。看来,最重的降雨将出现北部和西部的灰熊队,但这个可以滑动一点无论采用哪种方式, meteorlogix说。

在海外市场,大豆期货买卖,大连商品交易所结算较高的周五对预期的乐观,美国农业部的报告。基准2009年1月大豆合约结算cny61或1.5 % ,高于cny4 , 065一吨。

现金大豆价格在中国的主要生产地区为低,在上周周五,交易商没有愿意购买提前收获。

毛棕榈油期货对马来西亚的衍生品交易所结束3.1 %较高的周五在空头回补和外溢的力量来自soyoil和原油,抹掉至少有一些在这个星期的损失,说,贸易参与者。基准的十一月份合约,布尔萨马来西亚衍生工具结束myr71高myr2 , 380一吨,后达成一项盘中高点myr2 , 392 。

-安德鲁约翰逊小;道琼斯通讯社; 312-347-4604 ; andrew.johnsonjr @ dowjones.com

(完)道琼斯通讯社

2008年9月12日9时36内皮素(格林威治标准时间13时36分)

软件翻译,如有不对请指出!
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2楼:珍妮張 发表于:[2008-09-12 21:57:38]

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12/09/2008. El Ministerio de Sanidad y Consumo dota a las Comunidades Autónomas con una subvención de 22,5 euros por paciente incluido en el programa asistencial y de prevención de la salud bucodental iniciado en 2008, y del que se beneficiarán un millón de niños y niñas de entre 7 y 8 años en toda España. Esta iniciativa se implantará progresivamente a lo largo de los próximos años hasta beneficiar a unos cuatro millones de niños y adolescentes de 7 a 15 años en 2012, que habrán recibido atención dental básica y gratuita.
11/09/2008. El presidente del Gobierno español, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, ha mostrado su apoyo al presidente de la República de Costa Rica, Oscar Arias, para impulsar el acuerdo de Asociación entre la Unión Europea y Centroamérica. Además, en su reunión en la Moncloa, el mandatario español ha expresado la voluntad de su Ejecutivo y de las empresas españolas de incrementar la inversión en el país centroamericano.
11/09/2008. En la primera sesión de control al Gobierno tras el periodo estival, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero ha anunciado en el Congreso de los Diputados que el Consejo de Asuntos Generales y Relaciones Exteriores de la Unión Europea tomará una decisión, el próximo día 15 de septiembre, sobre la puesta en marcha de una "célula de coordinación" para la protección de buques europeos en el Índico. Para dirigir este nuevo organismo, el Ejecutivo ha propuesto a Bruselas la designación de un capitán de navío español.

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3楼:pepsi500 发表于:[2008-09-12 21:58:21]

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靠了 和讯不让我发译文,大家自己找软件翻译吧~
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4楼:珍妮張 发表于:[2008-09-12 21:58:31]

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5楼:期海真章鱼 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:16:11]

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引用珍妮張的大作:



说什么,珍妮
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6楼:期海真章鱼 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:16:37]

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那些洋文说什么
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7楼:珍妮張 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:19:01]

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引用期海真章鱼 的大作:
那些洋文说什么

西班牙网站的新闻,我也不知道
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8楼:期海真章鱼 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:21:48]

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你比我强多了,我英文西文都分不清
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9楼:珍妮張 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:25:36]

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引用期海真章鱼 的大作:
你比我强多了,我英文西文都分不清

楼主那段是英文,已经翻译了。
我那段是西班牙文,刚从西班牙网站复制来的。
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10楼:期海真章鱼 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:27:07]

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,好丢脸哦我
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11楼:淡淡的爱 发表于:[2008-09-12 22:32:29]

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哈哈哈,上面那段的译手真牛,哈哈哈
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